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Germany 10Y Bond Yield Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +5.90%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Rates + macro

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap2.789% ▼ -0.89%Tegnap2.658% ▲ +1.52%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Hét2.745% ▼ -2.45%Múlt héten2.563% ▲ +14.95%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap2.664% ▼ -5.34%Múlt hónap2.376% ▲ +260.60%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év3.152% ▲ +12.00%Tavaly4.600% ▼ -48.48%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év3.490% ▲ +24.00%5 évvel ezelőtt8.928% ▲ +94.09%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap2.789%▼ -0.89%
Tegnap2.658%▲ +1.52%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Hét2.745%▼ -2.45%
Múlt héten2.563%▲ +14.95%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap2.664%▼ -5.34%
Múlt hónap2.376%▲ +260.60%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év3.152%▲ +12.00%
Tavaly4.600%▼ -48.48%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év3.490%▲ +24.00%
5 évvel ezelőtt8.928%▲ +94.09%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
3.168%2.958%2.748%2.538%2.328%1W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Semleges
1
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1467.1 Bullish
MACD0.34 Bullish
SMA 502.028% Above
SMA 2001.227% Above
EMA 208.190% Below

Történelmi adatok

Open2.658%
Start Date
Day Range2.167% – 2.814%
Market Cap
Monthly Range2.102% – 2.823%
24h Volume
90D Range0.011% – 2.823%
Circulating
52W Range0.002% – 4.560%
Max Supply
Open2.658%Start Date
Day Range2.167% – 2.814%Market Cap
Monthly Range2.102% – 2.823%24h Volume
90D Range0.011% – 2.823%Circulating
52W Range0.002% – 4.560%Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

3.667%R3 — upper range
3.342%R2 — swing high
3.099%R1 — near-term cap
2.814%Jelenlegi árDE10Y
2.530%S1 — short-term supportSupport
2.286%S2 — trend support
1.961%S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 3.099%; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 2.530%; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 6.56%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent2.814%Current
Current reference level.
90D High2.823%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low-0.649%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
73%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a DE10Y-ba
Bullish Case
$1,321.60
+32.16% from current
Irányár3.719%
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,120.00
+12.00% from current
Irányár3.152%
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$737.55
-26.24% from current
Irányár2.076%
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.79% / 30D) and volatility regime (6.56% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a DE10Y más eszközökkel együtt
DE10Y
DE10Y1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 39/100
24H drift-0.89%
7D drift-2.45%
30D drift-5.34%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI67.2 · Bullish
MACD0.36 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook-5.34%
1Y outlook+12.00%
5Y outlook+24.00%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the Germany 10Y Bond Yield forecast for tomorrow?
Germany 10Y Bond Yield is projected near 2.789% versus the latest reference around 2.814%. That implies a modeled move of -0.89% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Germany 10Y Bond Yield?
The weekly model points to 2.745%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 2.664% (-5.34%), while the 1-year target is 3.152% (+12.00%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.490% with a modeled change of +24.00%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.099%, while nearest support is around 2.530%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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